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A top hot money tycoon gave a message: Take a look at the trading volume before buying a stock, and know the main force of trading and shipping

Release Time:2022-06-11 Topic:Big single smash at the end of the market Reading:56 Navigation:Stock Liao information > Comprehensive > A top hot money tycoon gave a message: Take a look at the trading volume before buying a stock, and know the main force of trading and shipping phone-reading

Determine the main trend by trading volume

1. Trading volume is a window for revealing the main intentions

In the case that stock prices are easily manipulated by large funds, trading volume has become the most powerful "weapon" in the hands of small and medium investors. As a small and medium investor, as long as you can carefully study the subtle changes in trading volume, it is easy to find the true intention of the main force. The following is an explanation for the majority of investors on how to use the volume to identify the main intention.

(1) Use the volume to find the main intention

The size of the change in the volume reflects the degree of market activity through the level of turnover. Generally speaking, the larger the trading volume, the smaller the market's recognition of the current stock price, and vice versa.

(2) Use the abnormal phenomenon of trading volume to observe the main intention

The abnormal phenomenon of trading volume mostly indicates that the market is about to undergo major changes. When the stock price is in a relatively bottom area, if the trading volume is increasing and the stock price does not rise by a large margin, it means that the main force is actively accumulating; on the contrary, if the stock price is relatively high, the stock price will increase while the trading volume is increasing. However, there has been no significant decline, so at this time, it shows that the main force is likely to be quietly shipping.

(3) Observing the intention of the main force through the activity of individual stocks

Generally speaking, when a new main force appears, the time from collecting chips to controlling the market is relatively long, and the trading volume will gradually become active. stand up. However, after entering the control stage, the main force will definitely not linger near its cost area for a long time, but will quickly raise the stock price, resulting in a wave of rising prices. The activity of individual stocks can often reflect in time whether they are the new main force or the old main force and their strength.

(4) Judging the main intention through the turnover rate

The activity of the trading volume indicates the explosive strength after the breakthrough of individual stocks. The higher the turnover rate, the more participants , once the market breaks in a certain direction, the original huge long-short divergence will force the other side to join itself due to the victory of one side. Although there are not many ways for the main force to directly and quickly open up positions, the real intention of the main force can also be understood from the turnover rate over a period of time.

The content mentioned above is only part of the applied knowledge to discover the main intention through trading volume. In actual operation, the analysis of trading volume must be developed together with the trend of stock prices, so as to maximize its use validity in the analysis.

2. Judging the in and out direction of large capital by trading volume

Generally speaking, when the main force is not ready to raise the stock price, the performance of the stock price is often as follows: It is very dull, and the changes in the trading volume are not too big. At this time, it is of no practical significance to study the trading volume, and it is impossible to determine the intention of the main force. However, once the main force increases the stock price, the whereabouts of the main force will often be exposed. At this moment, we will study the changes in the trading volume, which is of great significance. gain in the short term.

When investors often judge the main shipments and wash orders according to the trading volume, they either mistakenly regard the wash orders as the shipments, sell too early and lose the opportunity for profit, or mistakenly regard the shipments as the wash orders, and it is time to take action When the time is not released, the good opportunity to ship is lost as a result. How can we avoid misjudgment? Investors can judge the in and out direction of the main force according to the following characteristics of the trading volume.

(1) Observing price changes to identify the flow of funds

The purpose of the bookmaker's shuffling is to intimidate the floating chips in the market. The continuous downward trend and the method of falling below the important support line to achieve the purpose of washing the market. The purpose of shipping is to sell the chips in hand to cash in profits, so its trend characteristics are relatively mild, deceiving investment with a slow downward trend, so that investors unknowingly fall into a deep trap, and ultimately lead to unable to save themselves.

(2) Use the duration to determine the flow of funds

Under normal circumstances, the duration of the wash-up on the way up will not be too long, usually 5 to 12 trading days. If the time is too long, investors will often see it through; and when the stock price exceeds this time period, it will still show a slow downtrend or a tepid shock consolidation trend.

(3) Observing the late-trading reflection and identifying the capital flow

Under normal circumstances, when the market is shuffling, there are often abnormalities in late trading. However, when it was approaching the end of the market, it was suddenly suppressed by huge selling orders, and when it was shipped, there were relatively few changes in the end of the market.

(4) Identify the flow of funds through the transaction-intensive area

Through the transaction-intensive area, it is often possible to judge whether the main force is washing or shipping. If the stock price starts from the bottom area soon and reaches a position not far from the low-level transaction-intensive area, the probability of a washout is relatively high; if the stock price encounters resistance when it approaches the high-level transaction-intensive area where the chips are held, the probability of the main force shipping bigger.

Three, find out the main trend by watching the market

The main force is generally very rich in capital, it is precisely because of their large amount of capital, so in the stock market It's easy to expose yourself with a little action. As long as investors carefully observe the situation on the disk, they can find the trend of the main force.

(1) Study the main trend by observing the market.

The basic work of real-time tracking is to observe the buying and selling orders. The main forces in the stock market often place huge buy orders or Sell ​​orders, then guide the price to move in a certain direction, and often use the technique of placing orders on the market to lure investors into making wrong buying and selling decisions. Therefore, paying attention to the changes in the market is the key to real-time tracking of the market, and you can find every move of the main force. The actual combat skills are as follows.

1. Judging the main intention and stock price direction through the upper plate and the lower plate. A large number of pending sell orders are commonly known as the upper plate, and a large number of buy orders are commonly known as the lower plate. Regardless of whether the stock price is up or down, the purpose is to manipulate the stock price and lure into the follow-up market, but when the stock price is in different regions, its effects are different. When the stock price is in the low-to-medium price range that has just started, there are many active buying orders, and the appearance of a lower plate during the session often indicates the intention of the main force to go long. Investors may consider intervening in chasing the trend; However, if it does not fall but rises, the possibility of the main pressure plate absorbing goods is too high, which is often a harbinger of a sharp rise. When the stock price has risen sharply and is in the high price zone, there is a lower pallet in the intraday, but the trend is that the price is flat and the volume increases. At this time, beware of the main force to induce more shipments; It often indicates that the top is about to appear and the stock price will fall.

2. The relationship between the hidden order and the buy and sell queue

In the buy and sell transaction, some prices do not appear in the buy and sell queue, but appear in the transaction column. This is the hidden order, which often contains traces of the main force. Generally speaking, if there is a pressure plate on the top, and there are a large number of hidden active buying orders (especially large-scale purchases), and the stock price does not fall, it is a harbinger of a sharp rise; It is often the signal of the main shipment.

3. Counter-knock

Duo-knock means that the main force uses multiple accounts to buy or sell at the same time, artificially raising or lowering the stock price in order to profit from it operating method. When a large volume of transactions continuously appears in the transaction column, and there are no pending orders at this price in the buying and selling queue, or the trading volume is much larger than the number of pending orders in the buying and selling queue, it is likely that the main force is deliberately knocking on it. At this time , if the stock price is at the top, it is mostly to cover the main shipment, and if the stock price is at the bottom, it is mostly to activate the stock price trend.

4. Sweeping orders

During the rally, there are often large orders falling from the sky, swallowing all the pending selling orders, which is called sweeping orders. When the stock price has just formed a long lineup and the rally is beginning to rise, if it is found that a large order has swept across multiple selling orders in the buying and selling queue, it indicates that the main force is entering the market in a big way, and it is an excellent time for investors to follow up. .

5. Large order

Large order refers to the large order in each transaction. When a large number of buying and selling orders appear in the buying and selling queue, and large orders are constantly emerging, it often indicates that the main funds are very active.

(2) Judging the main trend through disk analysis

1. Look at the coordination of volume and price

By observing the change of the volume bar and the change of the corresponding price , to determine whether the volume-price match is positive or negative. The specific method is: if the volume column gradually becomes longer and the price also rises simultaneously, it indicates that the driving force is continuously strengthened, which is a positive match and can be followed up; on the contrary, if the price rises,The volume bar is shrinking, which is a negative match. Infinite empty rises, and short-term pullbacks. Similarly, if the volume column gradually becomes longer and the price continues to decline, it indicates that there are big players and institutions suppressing it, which is a danger signal. Usually, the general trend is difficult to strengthen in the short term; if the volume column keeps shrinking, the index is falling rapidly. It is the panic decline of buying collapse, and short-term intervention can be very profitable. In addition, if the volume column is sharply enlarged, and the stock price neither rises nor declines, it may be the main force in the wash, and investors can wait and see. If the stock price is at a high level, the trading volume column is enlarged, and the stock price gradually declines, indicating that the main force is losing weight and shipping; on the contrary, when the trading volume column continues to shrink after the volume column is enlarged, the stock price continues to decline. At this time, it may be that the main force is in shock. , at this time investors should hold their own stocks to rise.

2. Look at the stock price change trend

The time-sharing trend chart sometimes suddenly surges or dives. Because there is no prior warning, it is called a change trend. If you don't find out the reason, just follow the trend of the time-sharing chart to make investment decisions, it is very easy to make mistakes, and you should quickly find out the reason. In addition, holidays will also have an impact on trading behavior and psychological expectations, which in turn affects intraday trends.

Because the holiday of the Chinese market is different from that of the foreign market, the foreign market is still in the trading state during the holiday of the Chinese market. Therefore, the impact of the price trend of the foreign market during this vacuum period on the domestic market is full of more uncertainties. certainty. From the perspective of risk aversion, prudent investors will choose short positions, which is the general mentality of the market before the holiday. Out of expectation, small funds will make judgments on overseas markets before the holiday, while the main consideration is the deployment of major strategies, that is, which method is more beneficial to them under certain circumstances, and the factors that will affect them after the holiday. Take greater initiative in clear situations.

Fourth, use the trading volume to capture the trend of the main institutions

In the stock trading market of the game of interests, the participants are no more than retail investors, small and medium investment institutions In order to avoid stock market risks as much as possible and obtain greater returns, participants will play their own advantages. In order to be able to grasp the initiative of stock price fluctuations, the main institutions that manipulate stock prices have appeared in the stock exchange market.

In the stock market, the main institutions control the stock price, generally including the four stages of opening a position, washing the market, pulling up, and shipping. Due to the strong planning of the operation of large funds, the operation time is long, and some of them are as long as several years. During the trading process of the main institutions, the running trajectories of the stocks are planned in advance, and the trend generally does not follow the trend. Manipulation methods and characteristics. In the face of the operation methods of the main institutions, experienced investors can often capture many traces of the main institutions through the language of the market and the subtle changes in the trading volume at each stage. Next, let's analyze the volume characteristics of the main institutions in the four stages of building positions, washing orders, pulling up, and shipping. The different trading volume characteristics presented at each stage provide important clues and operational basis for investors to capture the movements of the main institutions in the stock market, which are worth making full use of and scientifically summarizing.

(1) The stage of opening a position

In most cases, the main institutions tend to do it relatively concealed when they open a position and attract goods, and the change in trading volume is not too obvious. However, a large increase in volume when a stock rises and a sharp reduction in volume when a stock falls are the main characteristics of the volume change in the opening stage, or there is an obvious continuous increase in the volume in the bottom area, so we can use real-time charts, time-by-hour volume and price trends, and transactions. The situation of the accumulation of quantity, etc., found the traces of the main agency entering the field.

(2) Washing stage

During the washing stage, the main institutions often use the bad general trend or various bad news to suppress the stock price. Judging from the K-line chart, there are often continuous negative lines. The intraday market is often accompanied by heavy volume sell-offs. On the surface, it seems that the main institutions are ramping up shipments, but this is not the case. As long as an experienced investor carefully studies it, they will find that the center of gravity of the stock price is still rising slowly under the support of the medium-term moving average system. return to the support level within the time limit. At this moment, the action of the main body to compensate for the low position is clear at a glance. Under normal circumstances, at the end of the wash-off stage, before a new uptrend begins, the trading volume tends to shrink sharply, and as the stock price rises, the trading volume begins to gradually increase.

(3) Pull-up stage

The most typical feature of the main institutions in the pull-up stage is that the trading volume increases steadily and continuously, and the stock price also continues to rise, forming a classic price increase. The trend of increasing volume creates an attractive profit effect. The short and medium-term moving average system is in a bullish arrangement, or the medium and long-term moving average system is about to be in a completely bullish arrangement, and a positive line appearsThe number of times is significantly more than the number of Yinxian occurrences, so as to lure the follow-up disks outside the market to join in continuously, so as to achieve the purpose of the main institutions waiting for opportunities to lighten up their positions and ship.

(4) Delivery stage

In the delivery stage, the stock price has been far from the bottom, so the main institutions continue to use the reverse trading volume to create a false and vigorous buying atmosphere to lure Retail investors or small and medium-sized investment institutions took over the chips of the main selling. On the K-line chart, there is a trend of heavy volume and stagnation, and the high level fluctuates greatly. The trading volume shows the characteristics of irregular enlargement and gradual shrinkage.

Five, identify the main Masukura wash-off by trading volume

In the low-level area after a long-term sharp decline, if the main institution wants to absorb a lot of chips, Correspondingly, there are a large number of retail investors who reluctantly cut their meat (if the main institutions want to absorb 60% of the chips of individual stocks, then more than half of the shareholders in the corresponding market will reluctantly cut their meat). To achieve this goal, the main institutions must create all kinds of false impressions to make the market bearish, create various bear patterns, and force retail investors to hand over their cheap chips in the low-level area. Judging from the characteristics of changes in trading volume, it is easy to identify whether the main institutions are shuffling in Masukura. The essentials of identification are as follows.

(1) When investors look at the K-line chart, they often encounter the phenomenon of heavy volume stagnation and shrinking volume. , and when the pullback is often manifested as a sharp shrinkage. With the continuous increase of the main funds, the trend of the stock price is often controlled by various means, so that the stock price will not rise too fast and cause the increase of the cost of opening a position. At the same time, the technical indicators can also be adjusted and repaired by regulating the stock price. Under normal circumstances, when the main institutions have accumulated funds to a certain extent, they will vigorously suppress and wash their hands, and drive out some retail investors who lack confidence. Therefore, in the form of the K-line, there is often a clear head shape and a combination of the yin and yang K-line, or a continuous falling yin line, etc., forming a "false death fork" phenomenon in technical indicators.

(2) After the stock price has fallen for a long time, the main institutions generally do not unconsciously break through the historically dense lock-up area, because it will cost a lot of money. Therefore, if there is no large room for growth in the market outlook, the main funds will not easily enter the market to solve the problem for others. And stocks that hit new highs with heavy volume in low-level areas often have greater room for growth. To a certain extent, the larger the accumulated volume and the higher the turnover rate of the main funds in a low-level area, the more concentrated their chips are, and the greater the corresponding upside potential of individual stocks in the future.

(3) Generally speaking, after the stock price has fully bottomed, it begins to rise slightly, and the trading volume fluctuates frequently above and below the average volume on the 5th and 10th. When the stock price rises, the trading volume exceeds the average volume on the 5th day. Line, when the stock price falls and pulls back, the trading volume is lower than the 5-day and 10-day average volume lines, and when a "zigzag"-shaped volume combination is formed, it is the main signal for building a position. In addition, some individual stocks that can actively pull back after breaking through the dense area with heavy volume in the low-level weak area are also the main force of Masukura. Because the main force takes the initiative to withdraw after breaking through the trapped dense area, on the one hand, it can absorb more chips, and on the other hand, it can also make the chips more concentrated, and save power for the future sharp pull.

In a word, when there is rising and heavy volume in the low-level area, when there is a pullback and a large volume in the low-level region, it is often a signal for the main funds to open positions and increase positions. In order to accumulate funds, the main institutions usually play some tricks and tricks in the bottom area (as small and medium investors, don’t be intimidated by false K-line combinations), their intention is to absorb cheap chips through repeated shocks and make the market cost. Convergence to prepare for later pull-ups.

6. Find the main force from the real-time market

One of the topics that investors often talk about in the securities market is the movement of the main force. The main line", there is a guarantee of income. In fact, in the stock market, the buying and selling order is the window of the main trend. In practice, there are many ways to explore the main trend, but many investors tend to ignore the window where we can accurately observe the main trend, that is, the buying and selling order of individual stock transactions. Specifically, it is a reflection of the price and quantity of a stock entrusted to buy and the quantity of the entrusted selling price. At present, securities analysis software generally provides investors with five levels of buying and selling prices, that is, buy 1 to buy 5 and sell 1 to sell 5 in the daily trend of individual stocks. The trading order is the place where the stock market maker "speaks". If the main force operates, it must buy and sell, so its intention is often exposed in this window inadvertently. Investors should always pay attention to the following situations, and then look for the main force from the real-time market.

(1) If a stock has experienced continuous decline, it often sees large-scale buy orders hanging out in its buying orders, which is an absolute support action, but this does not meanThe stock market stopped falling. Because in the market, the stock price cannot be protected. In fact, "the best defense is to attack". If the main force often defends the market, it can only prove that its strength is not strong, otherwise it can push up the stock price. At this time, the stock price of the stock There is often room for further exploration. Investors can pay attention to this stock at this moment, because this stock "has caught Zhuang", once the market outlook turns stronger, this kind of stock tends to be a blockbuster.

(2) If a stock is in the normal and stable operation of a certain day, the stock price is suddenly hit by a large selling order of thousands of lots in the intraday to the lower limit or near the lower limit, and then it is quickly smashed. Pulled up, or the stock price was pulled up by a large buy order of thousands of hands that suddenly appeared in the intraday, and then quickly returned to the position, indicating that there are main forces in the test. Such stocks generally close a K line with an upper shadow or a lower shadow on the same day. If the stock always has a lower shadow in the trend of a period of time, it is more likely that the main force will move upward; otherwise , the main force is likely to flee. The main force smashing down is to test the reliability of the foundation, and then dare to lift up with confidence.

(3) If a certain stock has been running at a low level, and suddenly the stock price has risen on a certain day, but a huge sell order is placed on the selling order (every one is usually hundreds or thousands of lots), There are relatively few buy orders. At this time, if there are funds entering the market to eat up the selling orders, it can be considered as the main position-building behavior. It is especially important to note that at this time, it is not necessarily that someone is short-selling, but it may be that the main force is using their own chips to build up volume to attract investors' attention. At this time, if the sell order continues to be eaten, it can reflect the strength of the main force. Investors should pay attention that if they want to intervene, they must not follow the trend and chase the trading orders. They should wait until the big selling orders are gone, and the stock price is also in the intraday correction before intervening, so as to avoid chasing the quilt that day.

The main force sometimes puts out large orders at the consignment place, and also intends to scare away the stockholders. In any case, intervening in the above situation at a low level is generally not very risky. At this time, the intention of the main force to pull up is very obvious, and the short-term may be shallowly trapped, but it can eventually benefit. Contrary to the above situation, if after a stock is priced high, huge selling orders are common in the intraday, and there are always hundreds or thousands of selling orders, but the buying orders are not strong, then investors should be more vigilant. , exiting at this time can effectively avoid risks.

7. Judging the main force from the changes in trading volume

Generally speaking, when the main force is not ready to raise the stock price, the stock price often behaves Very dull, the change in volume is not large, and the intention of the main force cannot be determined at this time. However, if the main force increases the stock price due to heavy volume, its whereabouts will be exposed. At this time, it is of great practical significance to study the changes in trading volume.

There are generally four main methods of shipping: one is stagflation with high volume and heavy volume, the second is to pull up and down by wave, the third is to dive from high level and heavy volume, and the fourth is to pull out while pulling. In actual operation, the main force is often used alternately for these four shipping methods. Which one to use depends on the specific situation of the market and individual stocks as well as the main force’s own needs. The four methods mentioned here are only For your reference, and not a comprehensive description of all the details of the main shipments.

(1) High-volume and high-volume stagflation shipments

High-level and high-volume stagflation refers to the fact that after a long-term speculation, the stock price has reached a certain high level, and then there is trading volume within a short period of time. A state of amplification while prices remain stagnant (of course it may have hit an all-time high, but not by much). At this time, the probability of major shipments is very high, and investors should attach great importance to this situation.

(2) Pull up the wave-by-wave down shipment

Pulling up the wave-by-wave down is the most commonly used method when the main force is shipped, which is manifested in a short period of time. Internally, the stock price was quickly raised, and then slowly fell all the way, generally for a long time, mostly more than half a year. Although stocks like this are very inspiring when they are pulled up, they are endless when they fall. The rebound in the middle is often short-lived. Once the high level is stuck, there is almost no chance of unwinding. Many investors have probably experienced the pain of this long-term downturn, so it is necessary for us to discuss how to treat these stocks.

Guanfu shares (002102), the stock rose rapidly, the highest price reached 13.80 yuan, and the trading volume also increased. It hovered at a high level for nearly half a month and built a circle. top. Then there was an accelerated decline, and two large Yinxian lines were closed at the close for two consecutive days. Then after a slight rebound, there was an accelerated decline, followed by a downward trend.

(3) High-level and heavy-volume diving shipments

In the stock market, stocks that are diving at high levels and heavy-volume generally have gone through a long period of rise before diving, and the cumulative increase in stock prices is also very high. big. high volume divingIt is a trend we often see in actual operation, and it is also the performance of some bookmakers eager to ship. This trend has deceived many short-term investors, and made many investors who are rushing to rebound greatly damaged and slumped.

The reason for the high-level and heavy-volume diving, in addition to the fact that the main force is eager to cash out (it is difficult to understand the inside story as a retail investor), is likely to be the fundamental change of the company. Therefore, as a long-term investor , be sure to understand the operating conditions of the company.

In the stock market, once the main force sells on a large scale, it means that there must be little-known bad news behind it. What retail investors need to do is to leave the market as soon as possible, rather than risk a rebound. At the same time, due to this shipping method, the market's confidence in buying and holding the stock has been reduced. It will take a long process for the stock to improve its market image in the future, and it will also take a long time for the densely held market formed at that time. It will be gradually digested by the market, so for this kind of stock, even if the stock price has fallen deeply, do not consider following up for the time being, it is best to wait for the main force to enter the low level before intervening.

(4) Pulling out while pulling out

Among the main shipping methods, pulling out while pulling out is the most subtle and brightest. In the form of pulling and out, the stock rarely has high-level heavy volume, but only in the early stage of a certain wave of rising. Always keep well.

8. Quantitative changes determine the magnitude and time of the wash order

If the stock price is repeatedly arranged within a certain price range, once the trading volume is reduced, the relationship between supply and demand will change. It will tend to be in a balanced state. For stocks in the absorbing stage, it is difficult to get more chips here. At this time, the main institutions will generally raise the stock price and increase the absorption, but at this time, there will be retail investors in the intraday market. Profitable disks, in order to clean up profit chips, the main institutions will wash the disks in time.

When the stock price is pulled up, it will be easy to judge the severity of the market selling pressure and the investor's mentality. From the perspective of the disk, the trading volume and stock price increase when the stock price is pulled up is the main factor to judge the length of the market. important basis for magnitude. For stocks in the absorbing stage, the main force generally does not easily hit each other when pulling up, but digests the upward selling pressure one by one. At this time, the size of the trading volume is an important basis for the main force to judge the amount of market chips, and it is also our judgment on the future of the main force. important clues, we will explain it in detail with a case.

Chuanyi (603100) was listed in August 2014, and it has pulled out 5 daily limits in a row, and then it has fallen back. After nearly two months of shocks, the trading volume has decreased significantly, explain here The relationship between supply and demand tends to be balanced, and the selling pressure is relatively constant. If the main force wants to collect chips again, it must use the means of pulling up. On August 14th, the main force began to lift the stock price. At this time, the trading volume increased significantly, indicating that there were many floating chips in the market. After the stock fluctuated at a high level for several trading days, the trading volume was still difficult to reduce rapidly, indicating that investors were not confident enough. From the perspective of the relationship between volume and price on the disk, the stock is likely to fall again, because the main force has already learned that investors are not optimistic about the stock at present, and if they want to attract goods, they can get chips at a lower position.

The stock started to fall after consolidating at a high level for a period of time. After that, it rose again and again, and the main force continued to absorb goods. On November 14th, after the stock price hit a record high of 19.81 yuan, the trading volume has decreased significantly, especially during the pullback, the trading volume has been smaller, indicating that the stock has begun to concentrate, and the main force will only oscillate up if it wants to absorb the goods, and there will not be many selling if it falls. , but will lose the chips when the main force is suppressing.

By analyzing the trend of the stock, we can find that the trading volume is one of the main force and one of the technical indicators that investors are most concerned about. The main force has a more accurate grasp of selling and buying because of personal experience. , and formulate future operational strategies accordingly. Although we can't keep an eye on the changes in the supply and demand relationship of the market all the time, we can infer the future operation methods of the main force from the rise and fall of the market price and the increase in volume. If we can analyze it carefully, the trend of individual stocks will be more accurate grasp. Through the trading volume of the main institutions in the process of shuffling, we can also accurately judge the extent of the possible decline of the stock price in the future. Similarly, we can also roughly estimate the time of the shuffle, or the time between the shuffle and the official rise.

Haitong Securities (600837) has been oscillating in the box near 8 yuan for nearly a year. From the change in its volume, the main force is obviously attracting goods. It is the same as the general main force. This is a bargaining chip. An important sign that has been relatively concentrated. Another important feature is that the volume decreases when the stock price continues to rise, and the volume also shrinks when it continues to fall. It can be said that the stock market is already very light. At this point, we can judge that the stock's position-building work has basically ended, and the necessity of scrambling is no longer necessary. Once the stock price rises, it is likely to enter a rapid rise.stage.

When judging the main trend in terms of volume, the extent of the stock price rise and callback and the length of the wash time are a good starting point, but large and small volumes are not a definite concept. To judge the future trend of the stock price more accurately, it is necessary not only to comprehensively analyze the fundamentals of individual stocks (including tradable shares, shareholders' shareholding, etc.) The change between volume and price can be used to obtain a more accurate judgment result.

9. Judging the operation process of the main force through trading volume

(1) The conditions for the main force to be in the village

The main force wants to be in a certain position. Only in the stock market, we must grasp the following two points.

(1) The main force has to go out and directly participate in the competition, and only by doing so can the profit be guaranteed.

(2) The main force must find a way to control the development and changes of the situation, and let themselves be on the safe side.

Therefore, the main position funds are usually divided into two parts: one part of the funds is used to open positions, and the role of this part of the funds is to directly participate in the competition; the other part of the funds is used to control the stock price. In the stock market, part of the funds must be used to control the market, and this part of the funds used to control the market is generally very risky. If you sit down in a circle, this part of the funds usually has low profits and may even lose money. The main source of money is to open positions. Funds.

If the main force wants to control the market, it needs cost. Therefore, Zhuangzhuang needs to carry out the necessary cost accounting, which requires the comparison of the cost invested in the control and the profit of the funds for opening the warehouse. If the cost of the control exceeds the Profit, then the village can no longer sit down. Generally speaking, Zhuangzhuang is profitable, because Zhuangzhuang does not have any means beyond the market to control the situation without cost, but there are usually some laws in the stock market that can be used by the main force.

The basis for controlling the stock price is that the operation of the stock price is non-linear. The rapid concentration of a large number of trading can make the stock price rise and fall rapidly, while the slow trading volume has a very large impact on the stock price. . As long as this law of the market remains the same, the main force can take advantage of this to profit. The reason why the stock price has such a movement law is that there are a large number of small and medium investors in the market who lack the ability to analyze and judge the market. They are the basis for the success of the market. With the improvement of the overall quality of shareholders, the difficulty of being a Zhuangzhuang will naturally become higher and higher, but it is inevitable for Zhuangzhuang to make a profit. The reason for this is that Zhuangzhuang has a greater initiative, and the market is always at a disadvantage in terms of information, so it is always in a passive position in the analysis and judgment of the market, which is the objective reason for its passive performance. As long as this factor exists, the main force can use it to profit.

(2) How the main force controls the stock price

The main force controls the ups and downs of the stock price in the market, usually it is done by knocking. The main purpose of knocking is to use the trading volume to create a stock price that is beneficial to the main force, thereby attracting retail investors to buy or sell. The main force often uses the method of knocking in the opening, washing, pulling, shipping, and rebounding of the market.

1. Pairing during the position opening stage

The main force suppresses the stock price through pairing and knocking when opening a position, so that more cheap chips can be bought at low prices. The picture presented on the K-line chart of individual stocks is that when the stock price is at a low level, the small yin and small yang lines often rise continuously along the 10-day moving average, which means that the main force is in the stage of pulling up and opening up positions, and then it shows that the trading volume is enlarged and the stock price is The continuous decline and the decline in the stock price are mainly caused by the use of large sums of money. The main characteristics of the K-line chart during this period are: the stock price is basically at a low level and sideways (there is also a daily limit), but the trading volume has increased significantly. The volume of each trade when it is rising or sideways will remain at a relatively high level at this time (this is because retail investors have not had time to follow up when they are trading at low levels).

In addition, at low levels, the main force often uses the splint method, that is, there are large buy and sell orders up and down, with a difference of a few cents in the middle, and at the same time, they continue to use small orders to eat goods. The purpose is to make small and medium investments. Those who feel that the stock is under heavy selling pressure and unable to rise, and then throw out the stock in their hands to achieve the purpose of the main force eventually accumulating money.

2. Counter-knocks when shaking positions

Because follow-up stocks are more profitable, the main force will generally use a large-scale counter-knocking technique to make some investments that are not firm enough. were quickly out. Judging from the market situation, when the intraday oscillated, the trading volume of the high and low points was significantly enlarged, which was caused by the main force controlling the stock price by a considerable amount of knocking in order to control the rise and fall of the stock price. .

3. The pair-knock in the pull-up stage

The main force greatly pulls up the stock price,Use a large number of slaps to create the illusion that the stock is favored by the market, increase the expectations of investors, and reduce the selling pressure of the stock when the stock is consolidating at a high level in the future (retail investors will also follow the preemptive shipments). At this time, retail investors often need to quote high prices to make deals. Judging from the market situation, small-scale buy orders are often not easy to complete, and the volume of each transaction increases rhythmically. The buying and selling orders of strong stocks are all above three digits, the resistance of the stock price to rise is very small, there will be no feeling of falling downward, and the buying orders below will follow up very quickly, and then the volume of each transaction will be reduced ( Because it is impossible to invest more funds in the case of knocking and pulling up the stock price, and there are more retail investors following the trend, so although the price and volume have both risen, the volume of each transaction will be reduced).

4. Counter-knock during the shipping stage

After a period of rising, the stock price has risen sharply. At this time, the main force usually considers shipping. Judging from the market situation, there are often large-scale transactions on the second and third sells, but we have not seen very large sell orders on the second and third sells. Whenever a transaction is made, the original buy order of buy one, two or even three, either disappears or decreases rapidly. This is usually a trap set by some inexperienced investors by using the subtle time difference to place orders. Retail investors often buy in the sell orders that the main force has placed in advance.

5. The rebound in the market after the shipment is right.

When the main force is shipped, the stock price will fall all the way. At this moment, many small and medium investors who follow the trend and buy It is stuck, and the trading volume also shows an obvious shrinking phenomenon. At this time, the main force will find an opportunity to use a larger pen to continuously strike, trying to raise the stock price again, but at this time, the main force will no longer pull up as hard as before. The stock price has risen, and the situation presented at this time is often that large trading orders will appear suddenly, and will disappear suddenly after a while, because the main force's purpose of knocking and pulling at this time is only to moderately increase the stock price, so as to be able to hold the remaining part. Chips also sold at high prices.

This chapter's operation tips

In actual combat operations, investors will find that mistakes are often made when buying and selling stocks based on the relationship between volume and price, especially when judging the direction of the main force based on trading volume. The rate is higher, either by mistakenly treating the wash as a shipment and selling it too early, or by mistakenly treating the shipment as a wash, and it should be out but not out, and as a result, the opportunity to sell is lost. Therefore, according to the changes in trading volume, it is particularly important to correctly judge the in and out direction of the main force, and it is also the key to whether investors can make a profit.

If you want to have a clear understanding of the next operations and trends, and want to learn how to see trends, funds, trading points, identify the marketer's trend and the main capital flow, and the actual trading skills, you can pay attention to my exchange and learning ! At least it can help you solve three problems: the problem of short-term buying and selling points; grasping the mid-line trend of individual stocks; the difficulty of picking stocks, and the problem of rising if you buy and sell. Welcome to come to exchange and discuss, and push ideas and methods for selecting strong bull stocks every day!

The author's WeChat: Wei Yuanyu (wy10007)

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Label group:[stock] [retail investors] [stock market turnover] [heavy volume rise] [main fund] [Build a position

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