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Jufeng Investment Consulting and Netease Finance jointly release the A-share investor confidence index report for the first half of 2019

Release Time:2021-07-22 Topic:How many A-share shareholders Reading:6 Navigation:Stock Liao information > Finance > Investment > Jufeng Investment Consulting and Netease Finance jointly release the A-share investor confidence index report for the first half of 2019 phone-reading

Nearly half of 2019 has passed. China's A-share market was affected by technology, policy, foreign trade and many other factors, and the market in the first half of the year experienced twists and turns. In this context, the "A-share Stockholders Confidence Index for the First Half of 2019" report jointly produced by Netease Finance and Jufeng Investment Advisory was officially released to provide investors and institutions with investment decision-making reference. The A-share Stockholders Confidence Index is a combination of the three data of investors’ long-term outlook on A-shares, short-term trends, and future investment adjustment plans. Finally, a comprehensive quantitative model of the stockholders’ confidence index is obtained to reflect the confidence of shareholders more vividly. Changes.

In the context of hard work in China's capital market and greater reform and opening up, investor returns in the first May of 2019 have improved compared to last year, and 26.19% of people have expressed profits. However, judging from the fluctuation curve of the A-share stockholders’ confidence index, it remains slightly pessimistic in the short term, but nearly 54% of investors are still optimistic about the market outlook. It is generally believed that the stock market has entered the early stage or even the middle of the bull market, and more than one-third of the stockholders expressed their intention to continue. Add positions.

The new characteristics of A-share investors in the first half of 2019: the increase in female investors; mainly young and middle-aged groups aged 25-44. The survey report shows that the proportion of women among shareholders has risen from less than 20% last year to nearly 30%; mainly young and middle-aged groups, with about 61% between 25-44 years old; for high positions, most investors are professionals in the field; high Income, monthly income of more than 50%; high education, more than 70% of people have a college degree or above.

1. How about investors' confidence in China's stock market?

In the A-share survey on long-term trends, up to 50.21% of investors believe that they are in At the beginning of the bull market; 4.27% of people think that A shares are already in the middle of the bull market; the remaining 45.52% said that A shares are still in the bear market stage, and 28.27% of them believe that there is a downward trend in the future.

In judging the short-term trend of the stock market, except for 31.54% of people who choose to continue to fluctuate sideways, they believe that A shares The proportion of investors who will trend upward (50.91%) is significantly higher than those who hold the view of downward trend (10.34%), which shows that investors as a whole are more optimistic about the direction of the stock market.

Regarding future securities investment plans, the proportion of investors who indicated that no adjustments will be made for the time being is the highest (44.19%), and among the remaining , There are slightly more people planning to increase investment (34.74%) than reducing investment (21.07%). However, the majority of those who made additional investment adjusted within 30%, and those who planned to reduce investment by more than 30% accounted for the majority, so the two sides were basically the same.

In order to more vividly reflect the changes in the confidence of stockholders, Jufeng Investment Co., Ltd. created its own A-share stockholder confidence index fluctuation curve , Refers to the three data of comprehensive investors' views on the long-term trend of A shares, short-term trend views and future investment adjustment plans, and finally obtains a comprehensive quantitative model of stockholder confidence index. Among them, the stockholder confidence index ranges from -10 to 10. When everyone has a pessimistic view on the stock market and plans to reduce their positions, the stockholder confidence index is -10, which means extremely pessimistic; on the contrary, the confidence index is 10, which means extremely optimistic; 0 means neutral.

It can be seen that investors have maintained a relatively positive attitude towards the trend of A-shares from January to April, but their expectations for May-June have rapidly turned pessimistic, but their investment confidence in June Some recovery. Comparing with the Shanghai Composite Index, it can be found that the change in investor confidence in May was caused by the stock market’s change from rising to falling in April. As the Shanghai Composite Index fell in May, the adjustment was not very large. In June, the Shanghai Composite Index fluctuated sideways, and investor sentiment was gradually restored. , Or affected by multiple factors such as the "five poor and six must-have" curse and poor foreign trade environment, the current investor confidence remainsKeep slightly pessimistic (confidence index is -2.42).

2. What was the investor's return on investment in the first May of 2019?

Among the people surveyed, investments that lost more than 30% from January to May 2019 The number of investors is as high as 24.94%, the loss is between 30%-10% and 27.90%, and the number of loss-making investors is as high as 73.8%. Among the remaining 26.2% profitable people, those with a profit of less than 10% also account for the vast majority. It can be seen that the income situation of the A-share market is still not optimistic this year.

From January to May 2019, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 15.56%, but last year the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 24.59%, which has not recovered the decline last year, which is also one of the reasons for the current high proportion of investors’ losses. .

3. Investors' views on major events in the internationalization of A shares

On May 14, the weight of A-shares included in MSCI doubled as planned. Investors think whether the market will usher in a big market?

According to a survey by Jufeng Investment Consultants, only 38.84% of investors believe that the expansion of the “Money” expansion will introduce a huge amount of capital, which is good for A shares. Jufeng Investment Advisor's analysis pointed out that after the expansion of the A-share "investment" ratio, the A-share window for foreign investment will open again, which will have a positive impact on the market. It not only helps stabilize market sentiment, but also helps boost market confidence. In the long run, more integration with international standards is also conducive to the gradual maturity of the market.

Which sectors do investors think will benefit from the expansion of the A-share "investment in Moroccan" and the formal "investment in wealth"?

According to a survey by Jufeng Investment Consultants, 39.67% of investors believe that the technology sector is the first to be good, followed by the financial sector (24.79%), the consumer sector (23.14%), and the real estate sector (8.26%).

4. Investors' views on hot topics related to the Sci-tech Innovation Board

In the 84 days since the first batch of sci-tech innovation board companies were accepted on March 22 (as of the evening of June 13), the cumulative number of companies accepted has reached 123. How do investors think that the number of companies will affect the market?

According to a survey by Jufeng Investment Consultants, about 56% of investors believe that the number of declarations is in line with expectations and has limited market impact, and even 6.6% of investors believe that there is no actual impact on the market.

In accordance with the requirements of the sci-tech innovation board pilot registration system reform, the Shanghai Stock Exchange will inquire about companies applying for listed companies. How do investors view supervision? How about the institution's inquiries about companies that plan to list on the Science and Technology Innovation Board?

According to a survey by Jufeng Investment Consultants, 81.82% of investors indicated that they recognized the inquiries of regulatory agencies on companies that are to be listed on the Science and Technology Innovation Board.

Because the sci-tech innovation board has set up a "threshold" for individual investors to enter the market, some investors who "do not meet the standard" take advance funds The way to open an account is to participate in the Sci-tech Innovation Board, what do investors think about it?

According to a survey by Jufeng Investment Consultants, 42.98% of investors indicated that they would strengthen investor education, and even 17.36% of investors believed that this was an act of providing false information and that they should not be allowed to participate in science and technology innovation. Board transactions.

Recently, the science and technology innovation board theme fund is selling well. How do investors think?

According to a survey by Jufeng Investment Consultants, investor comments are generally more rational. 50.42% of investors have a strong sense of risk and participate cautiously; about 47% of investors say that the science and technology innovation board themed fund is It is normal for ordinary investors to participate in the Sci-tech Innovation Board with a low threshold, and it is normal for funds to sell well.

5. What is the ratio of male to female investors?

According to the investor survey data of Jufeng Investment Gu from January to May 2019: my country is committed to Investors in the A-share market are dominated by men, accounting for 70.13% of the total, while female investors have accounted for 29.87%.

In the 2018 investor survey data, male investors accounted for 81.69%, while female investors accounted for only 18.31%. It can be seen that with the warming of the market at the beginning of the year, the proportion of female investors has increased substantially.

6. Which occupations are investors mainly engaged in?

Occupation distribution: employees of enterprises (institutions), leaders of enterprises (institutions) and public officials are ranked first and second respectively , Four, the total proportion of the three investors is 69.4%; the number of freelance jobs ranks third, at 9.39%; other occupations with a large distribution of investors include education, medical, cultural and sports workers (6.54%) and workers (5.75%). In addition, the least number are laid-off personnel, military personnel and school students.

In general, stock market investors are people with stable and higher incomes.

7. What is the age distribution of investors?

The data shows that the proportion of investors in the 25-34 age group is the highest, reaching 35.89%; second Investors aged 35-44, accounting for 25.05%; investors aged 45-54 accounted for 22.93%, ranking third; the youngest investor age group is under 25, only 2.91%.

According to the 2018 survey data, the proportion of investors in the 45-54 age group was the highest in 2018, reaching 36.89%. From this point of view, the average age of investors has a trend of getting younger since 2019. .

8. What is the investor’s educational background?

In terms of academic qualifications, investors with a bachelor’s degree account for the most, accounting for 36.75%. The other two groups are College (29.74) and technical secondary school-high school-vocational high school (21.74%), the three accounted for nearly 90% of the total number. Investors with a graduate degree or above accounted for 5.16%.

According to the 2018 survey, the proportions of undergraduate and graduate students are 30.85% and 5.48%, respectively. From this comparison, it is found that the proportion of highly educated investors has increased significantly since 2019.

9. What is the investor’s household income?

In terms of monthly household income, most of the main investment groups are concentrated in the range of 5001-20000 yuan. The average income of 5,000 to 10,000 is the largest, accounting for 37.61%. Secondly, the monthly income is between 10,000 yuan and 20,000 yuan (29.61%), and investors with a monthly household income of more than 20,000 yuan also account for 21.74%. It can be seen that investors are mainly middle and high income groups, and some are free Income.

According to the survey in 2018, compared with 19.79% of the number of people under 5000, the proportion of low-income investors has decreased significantly.

10. Are there many old investors or new investors?

In terms of investment experience in the A-share market, among the number of investors participating in the survey since 2019, 3-5 The number of investors in the year was the largest, accounting for 27.78%. Investors with 5 years or more of experience accounted for 48.92% of the total, and those with less than 1 year of experience were the least, only 3.11%.

Compared with last year’s survey results, the proportion of investors with 10 years of experience and above (39.27%) has decreased significantly, but there are still relatively few new market entrants, indicating that investors participating in the market are still Mainly old investors.

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Label group:[stock] [stockholders] [a-share market] [Jufeng Investment Advisory

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